By Meshack Idehen
It is becoming more obvious by the day that Britain is finding it more difficult to disengage itself from the European Union, (EU), under the guided exit scheme called BREXIT that was hurriedly organized by Ex-Prime Minister, Mr. David Cameron, and poorly implemented by the British people.
Every day, the visual and audio senses of decent folks around the world are confronted by the minutes with the unpleasant sights of Prime Minister Theresa May and Foreign Secretary, Boris Johnson, – both terrible characters in their own rights- struggling to explain to the British people and to the world, how the British people became left with the short end of the stick as exit negotiations with the EU progresses.
There are silent regrets and public nail biting everywhere in the United Kingdom. Alleged frauds in BREXIT spending; mainly by the conservatives, have not help matters either.
Sad. Now that Britain is approaching a crunch time in the Brexit talks, the government seems to be girding itself for a year of testing negotiations and political uncertainties.
The impending implosion within the United Kingdom aside, powerful nations like Russia and China are already testing the waters of Britain’s capacity in trade and security, adding to the tension and uncertainties already in the land.
Brexit seems and will certainly overwhelm the agenda this year for the British people. The European Union (EU) wants a deal agreed on by October so as to allow enough time for ratification before March 29th 2019, when Britain is due to leave. But Britain from all indications is not ready and may not be before the due dates.
Considering that the major parts of the exit talks involve trade dealings which in the main are fixing the terms for a post-Brexit transitional arrangement; giving legal effect to the Article 50 withdrawal deal that was provisionally struck last month; and drawing up an agreed framework for the future trade relationship, Britain’s exit problems may have become even more compounded.
Though both sides, Britain and the EU have contingency plans for no deal at all, I am quite sure those plans will not be enough to rescue Britain, should the talks for a smooth exit from the EU fails.
In particular, Article 50 withdrawal agreement will throw up more problems for Britain. The main one will be whether payment of Britain’s exit bill can be made contingent on the future trade deal. While and even more complicated issue will arise from the ability or not, of putting into treaty terms, the agreement to avoid a hard border in Ireland.
Sadly, Britain thinks this commitment can be made consistent both with leaving the EU single market and customs union and with diverging from EU regulations, even though the EU thinks otherwise.
The reality is that as things stands and if Britain leaves the single market and customs union and wants regulatory divergence, it can only have a deal that is mainly restricted to trade in goods, which is indeed very sad.